No intro, no fluff. You want a mock draft? I’ll give you a mock draft.

Love it? (Probably) Hate it? Yell at me on Twitter @EWeinerFantasy.

  1. Cincinnati Bengals – Joe Burrow, QB, LSUThe chalkiest of chalk, it would be the surprise of the draft if Burrow doesn’t go number one overall to Cincinnati. With A.J. Green franchise tagged, Tyler Boyd, Joe Mixon, John Ross and 2019 first round pick Jonah Williams back on the offensive line, the arrow is screaming up on the Bengals offense.
  2. Washington Redskins – Chase Young, EDGE, Ohio StateChalk 2.0. There is a small part of me that still wants Washington to go quarterback, but all the currents flow to Young at this spot. Ryan Kerrigan is a free agent next year, and taking Young gives this defense a sneaky elite defensive front with Jonathan Allen, Daron Payne, Matt Ioannidis, Montez Sweat and Kerrigan. Strengthening a strength is an underrated draft strategy.
  3. Los Angeles Chargers – Tua Tagovailoa, QB, AlabamaThe rumors are that Tua is slipping and already behind Herbert on a lot of boards. I’m going contrarian here. My gut has had the Chargers trading up for Tua the whole time, and I’d rather be wrong than not trust my gut. I think Homer Simpson might’ve said that too. I like Tyrod Taylor, but he’s just a stopgap, and actually a great short term option while Tagovailoa gets healthy. Adding Trai Turner and Bryan Bulaga to the right side of the offensive line implies LA wants to protect Tua’s blindside. This offense is a quarterback away from liftoff with Keenan Allen, Mike Williams, Hunter Henry and Austin Ekeler providing a great balance of skills.
  4. New York Giants – Tristan Wirfs, OG/OT, IowaThe Giants have plenty of holes, but one thing we know is Dave Gettleman never trades down. Because of course he doesn’t. Wirfs is a Gettleman type – a hogmolly who lit up the combine. It makes sense to protect New York’s young rookie QB and RB investments, and Wirfs can theoretically slot in at right tackle immediately, with upside for left tackle if and when Nate Solder becomes a cap casualty.
  5. Miami Dolphins – Justin Herbert, QB, OregonThe ‘Fins need a quarterback. I’m not convinced Herbert is a long-term starter, but he has all the tools. If this is wrong, the rest of the first round could have an entirely different feel. But betting QB for a team that hasn’t had a franchise quarterback this century feels like a smart bet.
  6. Detroit Lions – Derrick Brown, DT, AuburnDetroit can go a few ways here, as a lot of analysts have them targeting Jeff Okudah. But they did sign Desmond Trufant, and Matt Patricia would love to boost a defensive front that lost Mike Daniels, A’Shawn Robinson, Devon Kennard and Damon Harrison Sr. this off-season. Detroit ranked fourth-last in Pressure Rate even with that crew. This is a deeper corner class than it is on the interior of the defensive line.
  7. Carolina Panthers – Isaiah Simmons, Defensive Weapon, ClemsonCarolina stops Simmons ‘fall’ and grabs potentially the steal of the draft. Simmons can play nearly anywhere on defense, great for a team with plenty of holes. It’s not an apples-to-apples comparison, but I’m going Simmons here with Luke Kuechly retired. Okudah would make plenty of sense, too.
  8. Arizona Cardinals – Jedrick Wills, OT, AlabamaWith DeAndre Hopkins in tow, the likelihood of going receiver lessened significantly. Upgrading the line makes more sense for a team that just ranked seventh-worst in Adjusted Sack Rate and has a talented quarterback on a rookie contract. Wills will be a day-one starter at right tackle, and provides insurance at left tackle if D.J. Humphries struggles to stay healthy again.
  9. Jacksonville Jaguars – Jeffrey Okudah, CB, Ohio StateA potential steal here for the Jaguars, too. They are rumored to want to trade up but are rewarded for patience by landing Jalen Ramsey’s replacement at ninth overall. Remember, the Jags also traded A.J. Bouye. Corner is easily the biggest position of need, but things will get interesting if one of Tua or Herbert falls.
  10. Cleveland Browns – Andrew Thomas, OT, GeorgiaTackle makes all the sense in the world for the Browns here; Baker Mayfield looked frantic throughout the 2019 season. The interior of the line all graded well in Pass Block Win Rate, but the lack of strong bookends led to Baker ranking tied for last in the league in time in the pocket. Signing Jack Conklin to a big deal solidifies the right side, and picking Thomas turns the offensive line from a weakness into a potential strength. Baker, Odell, Jarvis Landry, Austin Hooper, David Njoku, Nick Chubb, Kareem Hunt and a revamped o-line? Giddy up.
  11. New York Jets – Mekhi Becton, OT, LouisvilleBecton tore up the combine, running a 5.10 40-yard dash despite checking in as the heaviest lineman there. He’s been mocked as high as fourth to the Giants, but a flagged drug test could have him slip here. The Jets desperately need to put a competent offensive line in front of young playmaker Sam Darnold after ranking second-last in (offensive) Adjusted Sack Rate in 2019.
  12. Las Vegas Raiders – Henry Ruggs III, WR, AlabamaThis is slightly contrarian, though we know the Raiders don’t want to go into the 2020 season with Tyrell Williams as their lead receiver. Ruggs’ 4.27 40 speed will take the top off the defense, but he’s also a perfect fit for Derek Carr to get the ball to quickly, allowing Ruggs to make plays after the catch. If you’re into draft props, you can get plus odds on Ruggs as the first receiver off the board.
  13. San Francisco 49ers – Jerry Jeudy, WR, AlabamaJeudy falling into Kyle Shanahan’s lap at 13 feels criminal. He’ll have the most complete receiver at his disposal since Julio Jones, and Jeudy makes for a fantastic skillset pairing with Deebo Samuel and George Kittle. They could trade back or go corner here too, but after the Niners offense stalled in the fourth quarter of the Super Bowl, a dynamic receiver of Jeudy’s (or CeeDee Lamb’s) caliber is a home run.
  14. Atlanta Falcons – C.J. Henderson, CB, FloridaHenderson is rumored to be flying up boards, so Atlanta GM Thomas Dimitroff moves up two spots to get his guy. Henderson can step in right away as a Desmond Trufant replacement for a defense desperately in need of a talent injection. The Falcons have to deal with Michael Thomas, Mike Evans, Chris Godwin and D.J. Moore every year. And don’t forget Gronk!
  15. Denver Broncos – CeeDee Lamb, WR, OklahomaDenver has been sneaky busy this off-season, aggressively targeting weaknesses by nabbing OG Graham Glasgow, DL Jurrell Casey and CB A.J. Bouye. Drew Lock has plenty of talent, but needs a bevy of playmakers to help sharpen his learning curve. Adding Lamb to Courtland Sutton, Noah Fant, Melvin Gordon and Phillip Lindsay suddenly makes this an exciting offense.
  16. Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Austin Jackson, OTTampa is invested in winning now by entrusting its offense to Tom Brady. With the best wide receiver combination in the league already in tow and a defense that surged over 2019’s second half, protecting Brady is at the top of the priority list. Just because you should draft for value and talent over need doesn’t mean that teams do so.
  17. Dallas Cowboys – Cesar Ruiz, C, MichiganThis might be high for a center, but it’s a similar spot to where center Garrett Bradbury went last year to the Vikings, which proved to be a great fit. The Cowboys lost All Pro Travis Frederick to retirement and the offensive line has long been the identity of this team. It makes sense to invest there in a cheap way with big bucks shelled out at running back, receiver and likely quarterback. Ruiz is a high floor pick and is ready to contribute now.
  18. Miami Dolphins – Javon Kinlaw, IDL, South CarolinaThe Dolphins have 14 picks in this draft, with many holes to fill and a clear direction of winning down the line. By going with a Best Player Available approach, Miami lucks into Kinlaw at 18, an explosive interior disrupter (not a word but it is now) who will fit perfectly on a team that ranked last in Pressure Rate last year.
  19. Las Vegas Raiders – Patrick Queen, LB, LSUThis is where things start to get really dicey in the first round. You can make a strong case for several defensive backs here, and K’Lavon Chaisson is theoretically still on the board. But the Raiders graded poorly in nearly every defensive category last year (30th in DVOA), and a do-it-all linebacker such as Queen is the perfect remedy.
  20. Jacksonville Jaguars – A.J. Terrell, CB, ClemsonI’ll admit, this might be a stretch with Okudah falling to the Jags at nine. But the corner depth chart is still a huge weakness in Jacksonville, and doubling up here can turn the position into an immediate strength. Terrell locked horns with elite receivers in big moments and is ready for the big stage. Xavier McKinney and Chaisson make a lot of sense here, too.
  21. Philadelphia Eagles – Justin Jefferson, WR, LSUWith the addition of Darius Slay, cornerback feels like less of a priority here (though definitely still on the table). Xavier McKinney is another good fit in the wake of Malcolm Jenkins’ departure. But the bet is on a speed and agility injection like Jefferson. While he did most of his damage in the slot, some think Jefferson is still capable of winning outside at the next level. Jefferson can also win deep from the slot, the exact role Howie Roseman envisioned for DeSean Jackson last off-season. Jalen Reagor is another option here for the same reasons, but Jefferson should be a slot starter from day one.
  22. Minnesota Vikings – Jaylon Johnson, CB, UtahThe Vikings will likely go with two of corner, defensive end, offensive tackle and/or wide receiver in the first round. The bet here is that defensive-minded head coach Mike Zimmer gets his way, especially considering the Vikings lost three starting cornerbacks from last season. Johnson has prototypical size and was a true shutdown corner in the Pac-12, excelling in press coverage. That has Mike Zimmer written all over it.
  23. New England Patriots – K’Lavon Chaisson, EDGE, LSUThis is admittedly a hunch, and an opportunity to gain an edge on the mock draft field with a combination I’ve yet to see. Belichick is notoriously tough to predict in the draft, and the Patriots lost 13.5 sacks from 2019’s team with the departures of Kyle Van Noy and Jamie Collins. Chaisson has the tools to be a pass rush force and generating pressure is always at a premium.
  24. New Orleans Saints – Bradon Aiyuk, WR, Arizona StateEmmanuel Sanders is merely a stopgap in the slot, and Tre’Quan Smith hasn’t earned the trust of Sean Payton (and therefore probably Drew Brees, too). The Saints are rumored to be enamored with Aiyuk, and rightfully so. The agile Sun Devil can start right away and offers juice in the return game, always a bright sign for a receiver.
  25. Minnesota Vikings – Joshua Jones, OT, HoustonAgain, several ways Minnesota can go here. But with an offensive identity built around running the ball and a receiver hole that can be filled in round two, Jones makes sense as an immediate plug-in starter and upgrade over right tackle Brian O’Neill with a future at left tackle.
  26. Miami Dolphins – D’Andre Swift, RB, GeorgiaI had zero running backs in this mock for a longtime. But just because I wouldn’t take a running back here doesn’t mean the Dolphins won’t. Having a do-it-all back theoretically makes life easier on a young quarterback like Herbert. Swift’s passing game chops ensure he wouldn’t have to come off the field much, which is the only type of running back a team should consider in round one.
  27. Indianapolis Colts – Jordan Love, QB, Utah StateTrade alert! Seattle Seahawks GM John Schneider is famous for trading back and/or out of the first round. Indianapolis GM Chris Ballard sees Love falling, and takes a risk to land its quarterback of the future, creating a perfect scenario for him to learn from veteran Philip Rivers and coach Frank Reich.
  28. Baltimore Ravens – AJ Epenesa, DE, IowaThere aren’t a ton of holes on the Ravens roster. They could still use a wide receiver, but the class is deep. For a defense that excelled last season, it still ranked a middling 16th in Pressure Rate. Epenesa is an exciting chess piece that can line up from multiple techniques and spots along the defensive line.
  29. Tennessee Titans – Yetur Gross-Matos, DE, Penn State Jurrell Casey is gone and Tennessee already ranked eighth-worst in Pressure Rate last season. Ezra Cleveland and Isaiah Wilson are both tackle options to replace Jack Conklin, but pass rush is a more pressing need.
  30. Green Bay Packers – Kenneth Murray, LB, OklahomaSimilar to Minnesota, there are a variety of directions Green Bay can go here. A trade back is possible, while receiver, tackle, defensive line, defensive back and linebacker all deserve consideration. Green Bay ranked 23rd in run defense DVOA last year and lost defensive captain Blake Martinez to the Giants. Martinez leaves behind 155 tackles, while Murray is already a better playmaker and athlete in the middle of the field.
  31. Dallas Cowboys – Xavier McKinney, S, AlabamaWithout another selection until the fifth round, the Niners definitely want to trade out of this pick. Calling my shot that Dallas – with Super Bowl hopes – trades up to nab the top safety in the class. McKinney is well-rounded and versatile, the perfect chess piece for a defense that took a step back last year.
  32. Kansas City Chiefs – Zack Baun, EDGE/LB, Wisconsin Like several teams at the back of the first round, it’s tough to peg where Kansas City is going here. Corner is a definite need. But Chris Jones is in line for a huge payday next year, and even with him in tow Kansas City ranked below average in Pressure Rate. Baun can play on both the edge and inside and offers as much difference-making upside as anyone in this range.